Germany’s All-Cause Deaths Rise 10 Percent, Mirroring Similar Trend Across Europe
According to a press release from Germany’s Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), their country’s mortality figures in September 2021 were 10% above the median of previous years.
Destatis estimates that 77,612 people died in Germany in September 2021. This is 10% above the median of the years 2017 to 2020 for that month (+7,247 cases).
This is shown by an ad hoc evaluation of provisional death figures. Applying an extrapolation method to incomplete reports allows first death figures for Germany to be released after roughly one week. In Week 39 (27 September to 3 October), the figures exceeded the median of previous years by 6%.
A comparison of total deaths with the number of COVID-19 deaths by death date reported to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) is currently possible up to and including Week 37 of 2021 (13 to 19 September). In that week, there were 375 COVID-19 deaths, according to the RKI. This was an increase of 77 cases compared with the preceding week. The figures have been rising since early August. However, they cannot explain the higher overall mortality observed since Week 36.
Higher mortality figures in Week 36 also in other European countries
The EuroMOMO network for mortality monitoring compares findings about excess mortality across Europe based on its own extrapolation of incomplete data and using its own excess mortality concept. In September, this survey recorded low or moderate excess mortality in many European countries especially for Week 36. In Germany, too, the deviation from the median of the previous years was most marked in that week (+15% or 2,464 cases) – at EuroMOMO this deviation corresponds to low excess mortality.
The 7,200 extra deaths are equal to about 30,000 additional monthly deaths in the United States.
Demographers have noted that the rise was NOT caused by a sharp increase in Covid deaths. Fewer than 1,500 people died of Covid in Germany in September.
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